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Predictions for the top MLB free agents

Predictions for the top MLB free agents

Where will the biggest free agent signings be this offseason? Let’s see what the experts think.

MLB.com polled 50 reporters and analysts on where 11 free-agent stars will end the 2023 season. These are consensus picks for everyone – Aaron Judge, Jacob deGrom, Trea Turner, Carlos Correa and more.

Here are MLB.com’s predictions for where the top free agents will sign.

That’s how the Yankees look, according to voters. After Judge’s historic 62-home run season, how could New York let him go?

Judge is baseball’s biggest superstar in baseball’s biggest market, and that marriage may be too strong to break. Judge rejected the Yankees’ seven-year, $213.5 million extension offer on Opening Day, but a reunion is still the most natural path for both the 30-year-old outfielder and the Yanks, especially after Judge’s MVP-caliber year.

Judge’s stay in pinstripes makes a lot of sense, and the Yankees look like favorites to sign Judge. According to the latest rumours — Judge’s home state of California, over other potential suitors from the Giants and Dodgers.

Other teams receiving votes: Giants, Dodgers

Is deGrom leaving the Mets? Yes, it can really happen. MLB.com voters just picked the Rangers over the Mets as deGrom’s landing spot for 2023 in the closest vote of any free agent in the poll.

Early in free agency, looks like the Rangers DeGrom’s top suitor from outside New York — Their biggest priority this offseason is starting pitching, there’s no bigger ace than deGrom, and they’ve already landed a two-time Cy Young Award winner.

It wouldn’t be a surprise if deGrom returned to the Mets, though he was coming off the final year of his contract and a $32.5 million salary. The 34-year-old is already a legend in Mets history, having spent his entire career in New York, and owner Steve Cohen has proven himself willing to do whatever it takes to bring top talent to New York — or teach him to keep it. But Texas is starting to bring in marquee free agents, as the club did last winter with Corey Seager and Marcus Semien.

Other teams receiving votes: Mets, Braves, Dodgers, Giants, Astros, Guardians, Padres

Another year, another loaded free-agent shortstop class. This offseason includes Turner, Carlos Correa, Xander Bogaerts and Dansby Swanson. Turner may be the best of the bunch with his elite combination of contact, power and speed. So plenty of teams would be interested — but the Phillies Looks like a favorite already Get the 29-year-old star.

Trea will report Loved reuniting with his former teammate Bryce Harper, and the Phillies are free to pounce on an elite shortstop without waiting for Judge’s market to develop, thanks to an outfield already loaded with sluggers. But the Dodgers will certainly want to bring Turner back in 2021 after their hugely successful blockbuster trade for them, and other high-profile teams are also circling the shortstop market, such as the Cubs.

Other teams receiving votes: Dodgers, Cubs, Mets, Cardinals, Giants, Red Sox, Mariners, Marlins, Yankees

This shortstop market is thanks to Korea – a big name shortstop the end Market of the year — He signed with the Twins after the first season, coming off a three-year, $105.3 million contract. So where will he go now? Going back to the Twins on a long-term deal is an option — but not likely, according to our pollsters.

MLB.com predicts Correa will be the shortstop to replace Turner in Los Angeles. Dodgers Report “love everything” 28-year-old Correa brings to the table. But there is one The question is if they will give him a serious run He has been unpopular with Dodgers fans since 2017 with the Astros. That made the Twins, Cubs and Yankees popular choices for Correa in the poll.

Other teams receiving votes: Twins, Cubs, Yankees, Braves, Orioles, Phillies, Angels, Giants, Mariners, Red Sox, Tigers

Most of our voters think Bogaerts will stay with the Red Sox, where the 30-year-old has spent 10 of his big league seasons, won two World Series and made four All-Star teams, including his last in 2022. Bogaerts opted out of his contract with the Red Sox with three years and $60 million remaining, but both sides have expressed interest in a reunion, and for the Sox, Keeping Bogaerts as their shortstop is priority No. 1.

Bogaerts re-signing with Boston would take a premier shortstop off the market, but if he tests that market, other teams could be an option if they lose a shortstop of his caliber to free agency (Dodgers, Twins, Braves), as will happen. Those just looking for a top-end shortstop (Phillies, Cubs). Those teams received multiple votes as Bogaerts’ landing spot.

Other teams receiving votes: Dodgers, Cubs, Giants, Phillies, Twins, Braves, Mariners, Orioles, Yankees, Mets

Verlander is entering his age-40 season, but the 17-year veteran just finished another Cy Young-caliber season in 2022. He will be a popular target for “win-now” contenders to start pitching to help the 2023 World Series push.

Of course, the Astros are just such a team, and since Verlander just led them to their second World Series championship, being in Houston is a likely outcome in our voters’ eyes. Two teams from New York Verlander could also followAs the Yankees and Mets try to make deeper postseason runs in 2023, the Astros are freed.

Other teams receiving votes: Yankees, Mets, Rangers, Braves, Giants, Angels, Blue Jays, Cardinals, Padres

Swanson doesn’t have the star power of Turner, Correa and Bogaerts, but his breakouts have been a huge part of the Braves’ success over the past few seasons, and when he’s hot at the plate, the 28-year-old is as good as any shortstop, especially as he emerges as a top defender at the position. has been Atlanta knows that’s all too well, which is why the Braves are MLB.com’s pick to lock up Swanson, who hasn’t played for another club since they traded for him as a prospect with the D-backs.

Atlanta was the most popular choice for Swanson in the poll. Otherwise, a segment of voters think he’ll play for the Cubs, who had a similarly electric but streaky shortstop in Javier Baez before being traded to the Mets last July. Or the Dodgers, as Swanson profiles Turner as a similar shortstop.

Other teams receiving votes: Cubs, Dodgers, Giants, Mariners, Phillies, Twins, Cardinals, Orioles, Red Sox, Royals, Yankees

DeGrom out, Rodon in? If the Mets lose a dominant ace, they can replace him with another. Rodon, who is entering his age-30 season, is 27-13 with a 2.67 ERA and 422 strikeouts in 310 2/3 innings since the start of 2021, a high-90s power fastball and a deGrom-like wipeout slider but from the left side.

DeGrom is the best pitcher in baseball when healthy, but Rawdon is good enough to be Max Scherzer’s assistant if the Mets lose deGrom. MLB.com experts deGrom to the Rangers and Rodon to the Mets, but the opposite could also be true — deGrom could go back to the Mets and the starting pitcher-less Rangers could snap up Rodon. Texas was almost as popular a choice as the Mets — MLB.com voters think both teams are getting a top free-agent starter, but which team will get which pitcher?

Other teams receiving votes: Rangers, Cubs, Giants, Angels, Cardinals, Yankees, Red Sox, Dodgers, Mariners, Marlins, Orioles

For the first time in 15 years, the Cardinals need a new catcher. With Yadier Molina retiring, and no one replacing the franchise icon in St. Louis, Contreras is one of the few real stars at the position, and he could be a free agent.

The Cubs and Cardinals may be rivals, but the jump from Chicago to St. Louis would be perfect for Contreras, so the Cardinals are the clear favorite among MLB.com voters. But the World Series champions are another strong option, as the Astros are relying on the aging Martin Maldonado, who isn’t the all-around threat Contreras is. Contreras, who can slug, run and throw, received significant votes in some team polls, with the Cubs returning to the game, a deal with the Tigers as part of their rebuild.

Other teams receiving votes: Astros, Tigers, Cubs, Red Sox, Giants, Mets, Yankees, D-Backs, Giants, Padres, Rays, Rockies

Nimmo is the best outfielder on the free-agent market not named Aaron Judge. And like Judge, experts at MLB.com think Nimmo will stay in New York.

Nimmo has been a linchpin for the 101-win Mets as their everyday leadoff hitter and center fielder in 2022, so they should make every effort to re-sign the 29-year-old, who has been a Met since their first-round pick. 2011 draft pick. But like his fellow free agent deGrom, Nimmo is Going to talk to another party, and one of those teams could get him. The Rockies, Giants and Mariners (who already have a former Met in the outfield in Jared Kelenick) have all generated significant votes for Nimmo, and even the crosstown rival Yankees could play if Judge leaves town.

Other teams receiving votes: Rockies, Giants, Mariners, Yankees, Astros, Padres, Angels, Blue Jays, Cubs, White Sox

The 2020 AL MVP has settled in like clockwork for the White Sox since his big league debut in 2014. Why would he go anywhere else now, entering his age-36 season?

Most MLB.com pollsters think Abreu will stay in Chicago and continue to anchor the White Sox lineup. But a good portion also thinks he’ll stay in Chicago … but jump to the Cubs. The Cubs were the next-most popular pick for Abreu, as they currently do not have an established big league first baseman, to say nothing of Abreu’s track record.

Other teams receiving votes: Cubs, Padres, Marlins, Giants, Giants, Mariners, Rays, Twins, Astros, Brewers, Cardinals, Mets, Orioles, Phillies, Rangers, Red Sox, Rockies




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